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Crank Stand
Paul Smith and Safe Speed - the Self-Exposure of a Crank
Unsurprisingly, its site is linked to all the usual boy racers: the Association of British Drivers, Pistonheads, It's Your Duty etc. It looks to me like a classic case of greenwash: a lobby group claiming to stand for one thing, but in reality standing for its opposite.
The man who runs it, Paul Smith, claims to be able to prove by statistics that speed cameras, far from saving lives, make the roads more dangerous. His "data" have been widely circulated by the speed lobbyists, and widely believed by them. They help to provide justification for organisations like Motorists Against Detection (MAD), who have been pulling down, burning and blowing up speed cameras.
After my article was published, Paul Smith challenged me to a debate. I was, of course, happy to oblige. The Right Hook, a discussion show on Ireland's Newstalk 106, provided the forum for us (at 6pm on Tuesday 20th). Smith laid out his case, then I asked him one question: has he published his figures in a peer-reviewed academic journal?
I asked this because it is the only question which counts. Almost every day I'm approached by people making wild claims – that chocolate causes cancer or elderberries cure AIDS - and the only means I have of deciding whether such claims should be taken seriously is peer review: have they survived the scrutiny of independent experts in the field? The experts are chosen not by the researcher whose work is in question, and not by themselves, but by the editors of a journal whose reputation depends on the scientific accuracy of its contents.
Smith's answer was more revealing than I could have imagined. Not only, he said, had he not sought to publish his "data" in an academic journal; but he had actually been asked by the leading journal in the field – Accident Analysis and Prevention – to submit his work for review, and he had not taken up the offer. Why not? Because, he said, he didn't "have time". He then went on to boast that he had spent 10,000 hours compiling his website.
His "data" are there, on safespeed.org.uk. Emailing them to Accident Analysis and Prevention would have taken 10 seconds. As formal peer review is the only means he has of demonstrating that his "results" might be worthy of discussion, you would have thought that submitting them was the first thing he would do, not the last.
So why won't he submit his "data"? It seems to me that there can be only one reason: he fears exposure. He appears to have begun with the conclusion he wanted to reach – that speed cameras must go – then devised a statistical method which would produce the goods. This is the standard approach of cranks and quacks of all descriptions. I suspect he knows that an independent expert, appointed by an academic journal, would immediately see through his method and expose it as false.
So next time you come across someone – and there are plenty in the motoring lobby – who cites Mr Smith's work as "proof" that speed cameras make the roads more dangerous, just ask them why he won't seek scientific publication of his results.
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What does W/P stand for and should the Crank spin freely like the other parts run by an accesory belt?
I have a 1993 cutlass ciera with a lot of problems. The serpentine belt fell off, along with that, the rotating part of the "W/P" came off the nut. Plus, I'm leaking what appears to be oil from where the accesory belt should be running.
So, my questions are these. If you can only answer 1, please do.
1. What does W/P stand for?
2. Can I simply hammer the rotating part back onto the nut or do I need to replace the entire W/P
3. All the parts that run off the accesory/serpentine belt spin freely when I push them except the Crank. Is that normal?
4. If you have any idea where that oil might be coming from, please let me know. It seems to be leaking from the area in which the crank is located.
Thanks in advance
I'm guessing W/P is waterpump. I'm not at all surprised at the list of problems you have on this vehicle. Early 90's Ciera's were not built or engineered well.
You need to replace the entire water pump, the nut didn't just "come off" the pump broke. Hammering it back on won't do anything...it will come right back off. This is actually the most common way for a water pump to fail, the hub that held the pulley on one end and the pumping tines on the other end (inside the pump housing) gives out. Usually rattles around for a minute before the serp belt comes out of alignment and falls off. Expect to pay between $40 and $60 for a new pump.
The crank should not spin freely, if it did you'd need to find a new car 
The crank is attached to the piston rods which are attached to the pistons. They are under pressure...i.e. the cyliders create pressure, the crank can be turned with a heavy duty ratchet or breaker bar....I don't see why you would need to move it though.
The oil is probably coming from the front oil seal, this is normal for this vehicle. The repair is not super difficult (remove crank pulley, drop the pan, etc) but certainly not something you can do at home without the proper tools and know how. A shop is going to charge around $325 - $400 to repair it. If it's not pouring out and you don't have the cash just keep an eye on the oil level and top it off as necessary.
Hope this helps!
Get up Stand up - Bob Marley LIVE